Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 4.082602 4.538518 5.026307 5.587405 6.215505 6.897496 7.694863
2026-02-08 3.279138 3.895722 4.602981 5.475941 6.526847 7.754164 9.300559
2026-02-15 2.767071 3.468469 4.319702 5.432627 6.855019 8.619608 10.986475
2026-02-22 2.467804 3.236242 4.214343 5.557308 7.363872 9.724701 13.067907
2026-03-01 2.184163 2.976609 4.027159 5.531562 7.646775 10.538633 14.832731
2026-03-08 1.912641 2.694986 3.769480 5.365754 7.698925 11.018330 16.158972
2026-03-15 1.725711 2.506244 3.613250 5.313896 7.889572 11.690718 17.810872
2026-03-22 1.618699 2.418417 3.587375 5.440881 8.344147 12.780550 20.193816
2026-03-29 1.526963 2.342116 3.567508 5.568644 8.803452 13.910840 22.749800
2026-04-05 1.422036 2.234369 3.487363 5.589947 9.089194 14.784370 24.967859
2026-04-12 1.310563 2.105443 3.360992 5.521552 9.215884 15.401050 26.803887
2026-04-19 1.207360 1.980400 3.228967 5.428992 9.288075 15.924372 28.519349
2026-04-26 1.111426 1.861340 3.099885 5.334767 9.357090 16.463705 30.354238
2026-05-03 1.025160 1.751608 2.977509 5.241078 9.417967 16.994498 32.235607
2026-05-10 0.957202 1.667707 2.892144 5.204470 9.577015 17.716428 34.561215
2026-05-17 0.920360 1.635354 2.893916 5.325454 10.039038 19.047537 38.239382
2026-05-24 0.865300 1.565479 2.822174 5.301558 10.219320 19.850043 40.927482
2026-05-31 0.796748 1.465323 2.686783 5.143321 10.119250 20.084785 42.443413
2026-06-07 0.748853 1.400030 2.611026 5.093843 10.230404 20.752743 44.960963
2026-06-14 0.726101 1.380809 2.621047 5.215286 10.702061 22.210769 49.395612
2026-06-21 0.704790 1.362622 2.631328 5.337440 11.185459 23.739222 54.170635
2026-06-28 0.673460 1.322194 2.594397 5.357810 11.451077 24.818072 58.018981
2026-07-05 0.635351 1.265333 2.520117 5.292429 11.521588 25.467595 60.908991